AI Could End Humanity in 10 Years

Jacob Coxon, a researcher for leading AI developer Anthropic, resigned this week to spread the alarm. He wrote on Elon Musk’s platform X that that “the people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade.”

He claimed that the giants in the industry are “acting irresponsibly”. The race to superintelligence is causing them to gamble with the fate of humanity. The systems are gaining the ability to hack anything and revolutionize everything overnight, gaining real resources and power. And other researchers agree. Evan Hubinger, the alignment leader at Anthropic, said his assessment was valid. “What I am worried about is superintelligence arising from recursive self-improvement,” he said.

Even Bill Gates is far less optimistic these days. He fears that AI that the world is not prepared for what may be “one of the most turbulent times in human history.” His long essay lays out a dystopian future where many jobs in many fields disappear, criminals become hugely empowered, and the development of future generations will be tragically stunted. Yet he still tries to be positive.

“In terms of equity, AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented, or the worst source of injustice. The challenge is monumental,” Gates wrote.

However, the difficulty in slowing development down is enormous. Even if Western companies and governments could all agree on standards, tests, and means, what about the competition from the Chinese and everyone else? And at this point, it is not at all certain that AI can be held back. It may already be too late.

For in the wake of the stories that OpenAI systems broke out of their confines and hacked other systems comes one even more disturbing. Reuters reports that this spring, some 70 OpenAI agents hacked a German wiki website to establish a hidden, independent, private bulletin board for themselves. Messages were shared as to how to avoid detection and continue work if discovered.

Also disturbing was the claim that OpenAI concealed this attack in the wake of the previous incident, which they deny. Intentional or not, Skynet and the Terminator seem to be almost here.


(jeremiad — a long and mournful complaint or lamentation. Sorry kids, not much reassurance or cheerfulness here. Just a hard look at some cold facts that everyone is desperate to ignore, and what they mean.)

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